Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.397269 0.457451 0.520560 0.591394 0.668407 0.749336 0.840541
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.307092 0.389160 0.480453 0.588424 0.711538 0.846510 1.004625
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.254629 0.352626 0.467577 0.609744 0.778275 0.969277 1.199687
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.201779 0.306838 0.436949 0.605035 0.811681 1.053029 1.351776
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.174583 0.288307 0.435854 0.633397 0.883359 1.182119 1.559154
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.143298 0.259117 0.417042 0.636380 0.921985 1.271076 1.719796
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.118206 0.234306 0.400537 0.639534 0.958994 1.357348 1.877695
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.101298 0.218739 0.394495 0.654919 1.010833 1.462071 2.059301
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.088577 0.207541 0.393030 0.675405 1.068889 1.574930 2.252203
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.077606 0.197310 0.391565 0.694920 1.125286 1.685981 2.443955
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.063762 0.179331 0.376077 0.692538 1.150711 1.756324 2.584104
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054738 0.168629 0.370810 0.704229 1.195123 1.851660 2.757047
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043579 0.151470 0.353538 0.697199 1.213529 1.913806 2.889645
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032429 0.131174 0.328400 0.675934 1.210073 1.945744 2.982610
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.027305 0.123614 0.324970 0.688483 1.255711 2.044898 3.165433
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020554 0.109511 0.307619 0.676981 1.264816 2.093361 3.280867
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018325 0.107478 0.313222 0.703623 1.331534 2.222663 3.506167
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.014378 0.098599 0.304072 0.704479 1.358683 2.296567 3.657174
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011210 0.090765 0.296015 0.706450 1.387138 2.372310 3.811141
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009349 0.086863 0.295841 0.722038 1.436828 2.478675 4.007821
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008042 0.084590 0.298939 0.743380 1.495725 2.598690 4.224102
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006863 0.082257 0.301600 0.763865 1.553486 2.717602 4.439819
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004998 0.075076 0.292020 0.761138 1.573803 2.782278 4.580805